Colin Foster wrote:
I'm not sure I understand why "too little disk space" (60GB of 500 is 12%) would cause the disk to fill up *more* (to only 1% free)? Historically I might start thinking about freeing up disk space if it went under 40GB but otherwise not worry about it and there's never been an issue.
Some clarification is necessary. You said you had "60GB free" and then referenced "1% free". Where are you getting these values from? Most people see various places in the operating system where it displays storage values and identifies a certain amount as "available". A normal person's brain automatically translates that "available" to "free".
But Apple developers think that you'll worried if you saw your free disk space go below 100 MB. They don't want you to be worried. They want you to be happy. So instead of displaying "100 MB free", it simply displays "60 GB available".
And clearly, you were very happy with that value. Technically, it's true. You do have that much space available if the system really needed it. Of course, the system does need it, so every day, it deletes those iCloud files. And every day, you click the little cloud button and download them again. Then you run out of free space and all those files go away. Lather, rinse, repeat.
Is there any way to get insight into what's hiding in the 70GB of "System Data" listed on the storage graph?
It's called "data".
What we have here is a failure to communicate. The system is trying to tell you that you should have purchased a bigger hard drive. Forget about the 70 GB. That's not important. The operating system needs at least 100 GB of truly "free" store to be happy. You can check your free storage in Disk Utility - and pretty much only Disk Utility. Ignore anything that says "available".
If you had 100 GB free, then that would be adequate for normal usage. The 70 GB of "system data" fits with a little room to spare. So the question is, what are you using that other 400 GB of storage for? That where you need to trim the fat. Find the files that you don't need every day and either move them to iCloud or an external archive drive. Make sure you enable "optimize" in iCloud Drive. Next time, get a 1 TB drive.